Class 11- Applied Mathematics-NCERT Handbook Solutions-Chapter-9 (Probability)

Class 11 Applied Mathematics - Chapter 9 Solutions

Chapter 9: Probability

Complete Step-by-Step Solutions & Mathematical Reasoning

Check Your Progress 9.1

Q1
Write down an experiment in practical life whose sample space is S={0,1,2,}
Solution

Step 1: Understand the sample space.
The given sample space consists of all non-negative integers: 0,1,2,3, . This means the outcome of the experiment represents a count of discrete items or occurrences that theoretically has no upper bound.

Step 2: Identify a matching real-life experiment.
Any practical situation that involves counting occurrences over a fixed period or within a specific category fits this description.

Examples:
1. Observing the number of cars passing through a toll booth in a given hour.
2. Counting the number of goals scored in a football match.
3. Noting the number of accidents along a busy road during a year.
Q2
Suppose 3 bulbs are selected at random from a lot of bulbs. Each bulb is tested and classified as defective (D) or non-defective (N). Write the sample space of this Experiment.
Solution

Step 1: Determine the number of trials and possible outcomes per trial.
There are 3 bulbs being tested. Each bulb can result in one of two states: D (Defective) or N (Non-defective).

Step 2: Use the Fundamental Principle of Counting.
The total number of outcomes in the sample space will be 2×2×2=23=8 .

Step 3: List all combinations systematically.

  • All 3 defective: DDD
  • 2 defective, 1 non-defective: DDN,DND,NDD
  • 1 defective, 2 non-defective: DNN,NDN,NND
  • All 3 non-defective: NNN
Sample Space:
S={DDD,DDN,DND,NDD,DNN,NDN,NND,NNN}

Check Your Progress 9.2

Q1-5
Give real-life examples of the following:
1. Independent Events and Dependent Events
2. Impossible and Sure Events
3. Exhaustive Events
4. Mutually Exclusive Events
5. Mutually exclusive and exhaustive Events
Solution

1. Independent and Dependent Events

  • Independent Event: Tossing a coin and rolling a die simultaneously. Getting a "Head" on the coin does not affect the probability of getting a "6" on the die.
  • Dependent Event: Drawing two cards from a standard deck without replacement. If you draw an Ace first and keep it, the probability of drawing an Ace on the second turn is affected (it decreases).

2. Impossible and Sure Events

  • Impossible Event: Rolling a "7" on a standard, fair 6-sided die. The probability is 0.
  • Sure Event: Rolling a number less than "10" on a standard 6-sided die. The probability is 1.

3. Exhaustive Events

  • Example: In a singing competition, the events A = "A boy wins" and B = "A girl wins" (assuming only boys and girls are participating). The union of these events covers the entire sample space, so they are exhaustive.

4. Mutually Exclusive Events

  • Example: Turning "Left" or turning "Right" at a T-junction at the exact same time. You cannot do both simultaneously. The intersection of these two events is empty.

5. Mutually Exclusive and Exhaustive Events

  • Example: Tossing a single coin. The events A = "Getting Heads" and B = "Getting Tails" cannot happen together (mutually exclusive) and their union covers all possible outcomes of the toss (exhaustive).

Check Your Progress 9.3

Q1
In a group of 100 sports car buyers, 40 bought alarm systems, 30 purchased bucket seats, and 20 purchased an alarm system and bucket seats. If a car buyer chosen at random bought an alarm system, what is the probability they also bought bucket seats?
Solution

Step 1: Define the events and their probabilities.
Let A = Event that a buyer bought an alarm system.
Let B = Event that a buyer bought bucket seats.
Total buyers = 100.

  • P(A)=40100=0.40
  • P(B)=30100=0.30
  • P(AB)=20100=0.20

Step 2: Apply the conditional probability formula.
We need to find the probability that a buyer bought bucket seats given they bought an alarm system, which is P(B|A) .

P(B|A)=P(AB)P(A)

Step 3: Calculate the result.

P(B|A)=0.200.40=12=0.5

The probability is 0.5 (or 50%).
Q2
From the given data, find out the probability that a randomly selected person is male, given that he owns a pet.
Have petsDo not have petsTotal
Male0.410.080.49
Female0.450.060.51
Total0.860.141
Solution

Step 1: Identify the required probabilities from the table.
We are looking for the conditional probability P(Male|Owns Pet) .

  • Probability of owning a pet: P(Pet)=0.86
  • Probability of being male AND owning a pet: P(MalePet)=0.41

Step 2: Apply the conditional probability formula.

P(Male|Pet)=P(MalePet)P(Pet)

Step 3: Calculate the value.

P(Male|Pet)=0.410.860.4767

The probability that a randomly selected person is male given that they own a pet is approximately 47.7%.

Practice Exercise

Q1
A weather report states that the probability of rain today is 0.6.
(a) What is the probability that it will not rain?
(b) If tomorrow’s probability of rain is 0.4, which day has a greater chance of rain? Explain.
Solution

(a) Probability that it will not rain:
The sum of probabilities for an event happening and not happening is always 1.

P(Not Rain)=1-P(Rain)

P(Not Rain)=1-0.6=0.4

(b) Comparing chances of rain:
Today's probability of rain = 0.6.
Tomorrow's probability of rain = 0.4.

Today has a greater chance of rain. This is because 0.6>0.4, meaning there is a 60% chance of rain today compared to a 40% chance tomorrow.
Q2
In a blood-testing camp, 70% of people test positive for iron deficiency. If a person is selected at random, find the probability that the person:
(a) Has iron deficiency
(b) Does not have iron deficiency
Solution

(a) Probability of having iron deficiency:
We are given that 70% of people test positive. To convert a percentage to a probability, divide by 100.

P(Deficiency)=70100=0.7

(b) Probability of NOT having iron deficiency:
Using the complement rule:

P(No Deficiency)=1-P(Deficiency)

P(No Deficiency)=1-0.7=0.3

(a) The probability is 0.7.
(b) The probability is 0.3.
Q3
State whether the following are independent events or not, and give reason:
(a) Getting a head on tossing a coin and getting a 6 on throwing die.
(b) Drawing a red card and then drawing another card from the same deck without replacement.
Solution

(a) Getting a head on a coin and a 6 on a die:
These are Independent Events. The outcome of tossing a coin has absolutely no physical or mathematical effect on the outcome of rolling a die. The probability of rolling a 6 remains exactly 16 regardless of whether the coin lands on heads or tails.

(b) Drawing a red card and then another card without replacement:
These are Dependent Events. Drawing the first card changes the total number of cards in the deck from 52 to 51. Furthermore, if the first card drawn was red, there is one fewer red card left, changing the probability for the second draw. Because the first event alters the probability of the second, they are dependent.

Q4
Two events A and B are mutually exclusive. If P(A) = 0.35 and P(B) = 0.45, Find P(A ∪ B) and explain its meaning in real life.
Solution

Step 1: Calculate P(AB).
For mutually exclusive events, the probability of either A or B occurring is simply the sum of their individual probabilities, because they cannot occur together (meaning P(AB)=0).

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)

P(AB)=0.35+0.45=0.80

Step 2: Explain real-life meaning.
The value 0.80 means there is an 80% chance that either event A or event B will occur. Since they are mutually exclusive, it is impossible for both to happen at the same time. For example, if A is "taking a bus to work" and B is "taking a train to work", there is an 80% probability you take public transit, but you can only take one mode at a time.

P(AB)=0.80
Q5
If the probability of success of an experiment is p, what is the probability of:
a) Failure
b) Neither success nor failure (interpret the result)
Solution

(a) Probability of Failure:
Success and failure are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events in a binary experiment. Therefore, the sum of their probabilities must equal 1.

P(Failure)=1-P(Success)

P(Failure)=1-p

(b) Probability of neither success nor failure:
Because an experiment MUST result in either a success or a failure, there are no other possible outcomes. Therefore, the event "neither success nor failure" contains no outcomes.

P(Neither)=0.
Interpretation: It is an impossible event. One of the two outcomes (success or failure) is guaranteed to occur.
Q6
In a class of 40 students, 25 study Mathematics, 18 study Science, 10 study both. Find the Probability that a randomly chosen student studies Science, given that the student studies Mathematics.
Solution

Step 1: Identify the given values and probabilities.
Let M be the event that a student studies Mathematics.
Let S be the event that a student studies Science.
Total students = 40.

  • Probability of studying Math: P(M)=2540
  • Probability of studying both: P(SM)=1040

Step 2: Apply the conditional probability formula.
We need to find the probability that a student studies Science given they study Mathematics, which is P(S|M).

P(S|M)=P(SM)P(M)

P(S|M)=10402540=1025

Step 3: Simplify the fraction.

1025=25=0.4

The probability is 0.4 (or 40%).
Q7
A dice is thrown once. Find whether the events A – getting an even number and B – getting a prime number are:
(a) Independent
(b) Mutually exclusive
Justify in each case.
Solution

Step 1: Define the sample space and the events.
Sample space for a die throw: S={1,2,3,4,5,6}
Event A (Even number): A={2,4,6}
Event B (Prime number): B={2,3,5}

Step 2: Calculate the probabilities.
P(A)=36=12
P(B)=36=12
Intersection of A and B (Both even and prime): AB={2}
P(AB)=16

(a) Checking for Independence:
Two events are independent if P(AB)=P(A)×P(B).

P(A)×P(B)=12×12=14

Since 1614, the events are NOT independent.

(b) Checking for Mutually Exclusive:
Two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time, meaning AB= (empty set).
Since AB={2} (which is not empty), the events are NOT mutually exclusive.

Q8
An insurance company found: 30% of drivers are young (Y) and 40% of accidents occur with young drivers (A|Y). Find the probability that an accident involves a young driver.
(Hint: P(A ∩ Y) = P(Y) × P(A|Y))
Solution

Step 1: Identify given probabilities.
Let Y be the event that a driver is young.
Let A be the event that an accident occurs.
Probability of a young driver: P(Y)=30%=0.30
Probability of an accident given the driver is young: P(A|Y)=40%=0.40

Step 2: Use the multiplication rule for conditional probability.
The question asks for the joint probability that a driver is young AND gets into an accident, denoted as P(AY).

P(AY)=P(Y)×P(A|Y)

Step 3: Calculate the probability.

P(AY)=0.30×0.40=0.12

The probability is 0.12 (or 12%).
Class 11 Applied Mathematics - Chapter 9 Solutions

Chapter 9: Probability

Complete Step-by-Step Solutions & Mathematical Reasoning

Multiple Choice Questions

Q1
A card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck. What is the probability that it is neither a king nor a heart?
  • 1126
  • 913
  • 1013
  • 1213
Solution

Step 1: Identify total possible outcomes.
A standard deck has 52 cards.

Step 2: Find the number of unfavorable cards (Kings or Hearts).
Number of hearts = 13
Number of kings = 4
Number of cards that are both king and heart (King of Hearts) = 1
Total cards that are either a king or a heart = 13+4-1=16

Step 3: Calculate the required probability.
Number of cards that are neither a king nor a heart = 52-16=36
Probability = 3652=913

Therefore, the correct option is (b).
Q2
Two dice are thrown together. What is the probability that the sum of numbers obtained on two dice is a prime number or a multiple of 4?
  • 512
  • 23
  • 712
  • 13
Solution

Step 1: Total possible outcomes.
When two dice are thrown, the total number of outcomes in the sample space is 6×6=36.

Step 2: Identify favourable sums.
The possible sums range from 2 to 12.
Prime sums: {2,3,5,7,11}
Multiples of 4: {4,8,12}
Notice that there is no overlap between prime numbers and multiples of 4.

Step 3: Count the number of outcomes for each sum.

  • Sum = 2: {(1,1)} → 1 outcome
  • Sum = 3: {(1,2),(2,1)} → 2 outcomes
  • Sum = 4: {(1,3),(2,2),(3,1)} → 3 outcomes
  • Sum = 5: {(1,4),(2,3),(3,2),(4,1)} → 4 outcomes
  • Sum = 7: {(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)} → 6 outcomes
  • Sum = 8: {(2,6),(3,5),(4,4),(5,3),(6,2)} → 5 outcomes
  • Sum = 11: {(5,6),(6,5)} → 2 outcomes
  • Sum = 12: {(6,6)} → 1 outcome

Total favourable outcomes = 1+2+3+4+6+5+2+1=24

Step 4: Calculate Probability.
P(Prime or Multiple of 4)=2436=23

Therefore, the correct option is (b).
Q3
A bag contains 5 red, 4 blue, and 3 green balls. Two balls are drawn without replacement. What is the probability that both are blue?
  • 111
  • 322
  • 233
  • 433
Solution

Step 1: Total initial balls.
Total balls = 5 (Red) +4 (Blue) +3 (Green) =12.

Step 2: Probability of the first ball being blue.
P(B1)=412

Step 3: Probability of the second ball being blue given the first was blue.
Since the draw is without replacement, there are now 3 blue balls left out of a total of 11 balls.
P(B2|B1)=311

Step 4: Calculate combined probability.
P(Both Blue)=P(B1)×P(B2|B1)=412×311=13×311=111

Therefore, the correct option is (a).
Q4
If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P(A)=0.3 and P(B)=0.4, then P(AB) equals:
  • 0.12
  • 0.7
  • 1.0
  • 0.5
Solution

Step 1: Use the property of mutually exclusive events.
For mutually exclusive events, P(AB)=0.

Step 2: Apply the Addition Theorem of Probability.
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)-P(AB) P(AB)=0.3+0.4-0=0.7

Therefore, the correct option is (b).
Q5
If P(A)=25 and P(B|A)=12, find P(AB).
  • 110
  • 25
  • 15
  • 310
Solution

Step 1: Use the Conditional Probability formula.
The conditional probability of B given A is defined as:
P(B|A)=P(AB)P(A)

Step 2: Rearrange to solve for P(AB).
P(AB)=P(A)×P(B|A) P(AB)=25×12=15

Therefore, the correct option is (c).
Q6
Two cards are drawn successively without replacement from a deck. What is the probability that both are aces?
  • 1221
  • 2169
  • 3221
  • 4221
Solution

Step 1: Probability of the first ace.
A standard deck has 52 cards and 4 aces.
P(A1)=452=113

Step 2: Probability of the second ace given the first was an ace.
Since the draw is without replacement, there are now 51 cards left and 3 aces remaining.
P(A2|A1)=351=117

Step 3: Calculate combined probability.
P(Both Aces)=P(A1)×P(A2|A1)=113×117=1221

Therefore, the correct option is (a).
Q7
Which of the following pairs of events are independent?
  • Drawing two cards one after another without replacement
  • Getting head on first toss and tail on second toss of a coin
  • Getting an even number on a die and getting 5 in next throw (same die)
  • Both B and C
Solution

Step 1: Analyze each option.

  • (a) Drawing without replacement means the outcome of the first draw alters the sample space for the second draw. These are dependent events.
  • (b) The outcome of the first coin toss does not affect the probability of the outcome of the second coin toss. These are independent events.
  • (c) The outcome of a die throw does not influence the probability of the outcome on the next throw. These are independent events.

Step 2: Conclusion.
Since both (b) and (c) are independent events, the correct choice covers both.

Therefore, the correct option is (d).
Q8
A coin is tossed 3 times. What is the probability of getting at least one head?
  • 18
  • 38
  • 78
  • 12
Solution

Step 1: Use the complement rule.
The event "at least one head" is the complement of the event "no heads" (which means all tails).

Step 2: Calculate probability of all tails.
When tossing a coin 3 times, total outcomes = 23=8.
There is only 1 outcome with all tails: (T, T, T).
P(No Head)=18

Step 3: Calculate probability of at least one head.
P(At least 1 Head)=1-P(No Head)=1-18=78

Therefore, the correct option is (c).
Q9
In a class of 40 students, 28 play cricket and 16 play football, and 10 play both cricket and football. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student plays at least one game?
  • 1720
  • 920
  • 34
  • 78
Solution

Step 1: Identify the given data.
Total students, n(S)=40
Students playing cricket, n(C)=28
Students playing football, n(F)=16
Students playing both, n(CF)=10

Step 2: Find the number of students playing at least one game.
Using the principle of inclusion-exclusion:
n(CF)=n(C)+n(F)-n(CF) n(CF)=28+16-10=34

Step 3: Calculate the probability.
P(CF)=n(CF)n(S)=3440=1720

Therefore, the correct option is (a).
Q10
You select a card from a deck. Given that the card drawn is black, what is the probability that it is a spade?
  • 126
  • 14
  • 12
  • 113
Solution

Step 1: Understand the reduced sample space.
We are given that the card drawn is black. Therefore, our new sample space consists only of the black cards in the deck.
Total number of black cards = 26 (13 spades + 13 clubs).

Step 2: Find the number of favorable outcomes.
We need the probability that the card is a spade. Out of the 26 black cards, the number of spades is 13.

Step 3: Calculate the conditional probability.
P(Spade|Black)=Number of SpadesTotal Black Cards=1326=12

Therefore, the correct option is (c).
Q11
Which of the following correctly defines conditional probability of A if B has already occurred?
  • P(AB)P(B)
  • P(AB)P(A)
  • P(AB)P(B)
  • P(B)P(A)
Solution

Definition of Conditional Probability:
The conditional probability of an event A, given that event B has already occurred (where P(B)0), is the probability of the intersection of A and B divided by the probability of B.
Mathematically, it is written as: P(A|B)=P(AB)P(B)

Therefore, the correct option is (c).
Q12
Two events are such that: P(AB)=P(A)P(B). Which statement is true?
  • A and B are mutually exclusive
  • A and B are dependent
  • A and B are independent
  • A and B are exhaustive
Solution

Analyze the given condition:
The equation P(AB)=P(A)P(B) is the fundamental mathematical definition of independent events. It implies that the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the occurrence of the other.

  • If they were mutually exclusive, P(AB)=0.
  • If they were exhaustive, P(AB)=1.
Therefore, the correct option is (c).
Q13
A die is thrown. Let
A = event of getting an even number
B = event of getting a multiple of 3
Find P(A|B).
  • 1
  • 23
  • 12
  • 13
Solution

Step 1: Define the sample space and events.
Sample space of a die throw: S={1,2,3,4,5,6}
Event A (Even number): A={2,4,6}
Event B (Multiple of 3): B={3,6}
Intersection (Both even and multiple of 3): AB={6}

Step 2: Find the probabilities.
n(B)=2
n(AB)=1

Step 3: Calculate the conditional probability.
P(A|B)=n(AB)n(B)=12

Therefore, the correct option is (c).
Q14
In a school survey: 70% students like Mathematics, 40% like Science, and 25% like both subjects. What is the probability that a student chosen randomly likes only Mathematics?
  • 25%
  • 45%
  • 30%
  • 15%
Solution

Step 1: Identify the given probabilities.
P(M)=70% (Likes Math)
P(S)=40% (Likes Science)
P(MS)=25% (Likes both)

Step 2: Calculate the probability of liking ONLY Mathematics.
The students who like only Mathematics are those who like Mathematics minus those who like both subjects.
P(Only Math)=P(M)-P(MS) P(Only Math)=70%-25%=45%

Therefore, the correct option is (b).
Q15
If the probability of success of an experiment is 0.35, what is the probability that there are no successes in two independent trials?
  • 0.245
  • 0.4225
  • 0.65
  • 0.09
Solution

Step 1: Find the probability of failure.
Given P(Success)=0.35.
P(Failure)=1-P(Success)=1-0.35=0.65

Step 2: Calculate the probability of no successes in two independent trials.
"No successes in two trials" means a failure on the first trial AND a failure on the second trial. Since the trials are independent, we multiply their probabilities.
P(Failure 1Failure 2)=P(Failure 1)×P(Failure 2) P(No Success)=0.65×0.65=0.4225

Therefore, the correct option is (b).
Q16
Three dice are thrown together. Find the probability of getting a total of at least 6.
Solution

Step 1: Total possible outcomes.
When 3 dice are thrown, total outcomes = 63=216.

Step 2: Use the complement rule.
We need P(Sum6). It is easier to find the probability of the complement: P(Sum<6).
The minimum sum of 3 dice is 3 (1+1+1). So, we need the outcomes where the sum is 3, 4, or 5.

Step 3: Count outcomes for sum <6.

  • Sum = 3: (1,1,1)1 way
  • Sum = 4: (1,1,2), (1,2,1), (2,1,1)3 ways
  • Sum = 5: (1,1,3) and its permutations (3 ways)
    (1,2,2) and its permutations (3 ways)
    Total for Sum 5 = 3+3=6 ways

Total outcomes for sum <6 = 1+3+6=10

Step 4: Calculate the required probability.
P(Sum<6)=10216 P(Sum6)=1-P(Sum<6)=1-10216=206216 Simplifying the fraction by dividing numerator and denominator by 2: P(Sum6)=103108

The probability of getting a total of at least 6 is 103108.
Q17
What is the probability that a number selected from the numbers 1, 2, 3, ....... 30 is a prime number, when each of the given numbers is equally likely to be selected?
Solution

Step 1: Identify the sample space.
The sample space S contains all integers from 1 to 30.
n(S)=30

Step 2: Identify the favorable outcomes.
Let E be the event of selecting a prime number.
The prime numbers between 1 and 30 are:
E={2,3,5,7,11,13,17,19,23,29}
n(E)=10

Step 3: Calculate the probability.
P(E)=n(E)n(S)=1030=13

The probability that the selected number is a prime number is 13.
Q18
From a group of 2 boys and 5 girls, two children are selected at random. Describe the events.
(i) A = Both selected children are girls.
(ii) B = The selected group consists of one boy and one girl.
(iii) C = At least one boy is selected.
Which pair(s) of events is (are) mutually exclusive?
Solution

Step 1: Understand the sample space and combinations.
Total children = 2 Boys +5 Girls =7.
Two children are selected. Total ways = C27=21.

Step 2: Describe the events.

  • Event A (Both girls): 2 girls are selected out of 5.
    n(A)=C25=10
  • Event B (1 boy, 1 girl): 1 boy out of 2, and 1 girl out of 5.
    n(B)=C12×C15=2×5=10
  • Event C (At least one boy): This means either 1 boy and 1 girl, OR 2 boys.
    n(C)=(1 Boy, 1 Girl)+(2 Boys)=10+C22=10+1=11
    Notice that Event B is entirely contained within Event C (i.e., BC).

Step 3: Check for mutual exclusivity.
Events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time (their intersection is empty).

  • A and B: Event A has 0 boys, Event B has exactly 1 boy. They cannot happen together. AB=. Mutually exclusive.
  • A and C: Event A has 0 boys, Event C has at least 1 boy. They cannot happen together. AC=. Mutually exclusive.
  • B and C: Event B (1 boy, 1 girl) satisfies the condition for C (at least 1 boy). BC=B. Not mutually exclusive.
The mutually exclusive pairs are: A & B and A & C.
Q19
A, B, C are three mutually exclusive and exhaustive events with a random experiment. Find P(A), it being given that P(B) = P(A) and P(C) = P(B).
(Note: Assuming the intended standard problem based on the answer key 413 is P(B)=32P(A) and P(C)=12P(B))
Solution

Step 1: Use the property of mutually exclusive and exhaustive events.
Since A, B, and C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, the sum of their probabilities is 1.
P(A)+P(B)+P(C)=1

Step 2: Express P(B) and P(C) in terms of P(A).
Using the standard relationship to arrive at the answer 4/13:
P(B)=32P(A)
P(C)=12P(B)=12(32P(A))=34P(A)

Step 3: Substitute and solve for P(A).
P(A)+32P(A)+34P(A)=1 Find a common denominator (4):
4P(A)4+6P(A)4+3P(A)4=1 134P(A)=1 P(A)=413

Therefore, P(A)=413.
Q20
Two cards are drawn from a pack of 52 cards. What is the probability that either both are black or both are kings?
Solution

Step 1: Find total outcomes.
Total ways to draw 2 cards from 52 is: n(S)=C252=52×512=1326

Step 2: Find probability of both being black (Event A).
There are 26 black cards. Ways to draw 2 black cards: n(A)=C226=26×252=325

Step 3: Find probability of both being kings (Event B).
There are 4 kings. Ways to draw 2 kings: n(B)=C24=4×32=6

Step 4: Find intersection (Both are black kings).
There are 2 black kings (Spades and Clubs). Ways to draw 2 black kings: n(AB)=C22=1

Step 5: Apply Addition Theorem.
n(AB)=n(A)+n(B)-n(AB) n(AB)=325+6-1=330 P(AB)=3301326 Dividing numerator and denominator by 6 gives: 55221

The probability is 3301326 or 55221.
Q21
The probability that a person visiting a dentist will have his teeth cleaned is 0.44 and the probability that he will have a cavity filled is 0.24. The probability that he will have his teeth cleaned or a cavity filled is 0.60. What is the probability that a person visiting a dentist will have his teeth cleaned and cavity filled?
Solution

Step 1: Identify given probabilities.
Let C be the event of having teeth cleaned, and F be the event of having a cavity filled.
P(C)=0.44
P(F)=0.24
P(CF)=0.60

Step 2: Apply the Addition Rule to find the intersection.
We need to find P(CF) (teeth cleaned AND cavity filled).
P(CF)=P(C)+P(F)-P(CF) 0.60=0.44+0.24-P(CF) 0.60=0.68-P(CF) P(CF)=0.68-0.60=0.08

The probability is 0.08 (or 8%).
Q22
5% of bulbs manufactured are defective. A quality inspector selects a bulb randomly. If the probability that the bulb fails during testing given it is defective is 0.9, find the probability that the selected bulb is defective and fails the test.
Solution

Step 1: Identify given probabilities.
Let D be the event that the bulb is defective.
Let F be the event that the bulb fails the test.
P(D)=5%=0.05
P(F|D)=0.9

Step 2: Calculate joint probability using the Multiplication Rule.
We need P(DF).
P(DF)=P(D)×P(F|D) P(DF)=0.05×0.90=0.045

The probability that the bulb is defective and fails the test is 0.045 (or 9200).

Case Studies

Q23
CASE STUDY – 1: School Club Participation
In a school of 100 students, 55 students are members of the Music Club (M), 40 students are members of the Dance Club (D) and 25 students belong to both clubs.
Answer the following:
(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected student belongs to the Music Club given that the student belongs to the Dance Club.
(b) Find the probability that the student belongs to only one club.
(c) Find the probability that the student belongs to neither club.
(d) Decide and justify whether the events that student selected at random to Music Club and the student belongs to Dance Club are independent.
Solution

Initial Setup:
Total students, n(S)=100
n(M)=55, n(D)=40, n(MD)=25

(a) Probability of Music given Dance:
We need P(M|D).
P(M|D)=n(MD)n(D)=2540=58=0.625

(b) Probability of only one club:
Number of students in Music only = n(M)-n(MD)=55-25=30
Number of students in Dance only = n(D)-n(MD)=40-25=15
Total in only one club = 30+15=45
P(Only one club)=45100=0.45

(c) Probability of neither club:
First, find students in at least one club:
n(MD)=n(M)+n(D)-n(MD)=55+40-25=70 Students in neither club = 100-70=30.
P(Neither club)=30100=0.30

(d) Independence Check:
Events are independent if P(MD)=P(M)×P(D).
P(M)=55100=0.55
P(D)=40100=0.40
P(M)×P(D)=0.55×0.40=0.22
But, we know P(MD)=25100=0.25.
Since 0.220.25, the events are not independent.

Q24
CASE STUDY – 2: Hospital Health Report
A hospital screened 200 patients:
  • 80 diagnosed with Diabetes (D)
  • 65 diagnosed with High Blood Pressure (B)
  • 35 suffering from both diseases
Answer:
(a) Find the probability that the patient has Blood Pressure given that the patient has Diabetes.
(b) Find the probability that the patient has only Diabetes.
(c) Determine the probability that the patient has neither disease.
(d) Are the events D and B mutually exclusive? Justify.
Solution

Initial Setup:
n(S)=200
n(D)=80, n(B)=65, n(DB)=35

(a) Probability of BP given Diabetes:
We need P(B|D).
P(B|D)=n(DB)n(D)=3580=716=0.4375

(b) Probability of only Diabetes:
Patients with only Diabetes = n(D)-n(DB)=80-35=45.
P(Only D)=45200=940=0.225

(c) Probability of neither disease:
Patients with at least one disease = n(DB)=80+65-35=110.
Patients with neither = 200-110=90.
P(Neither)=90200=920=0.45

(d) Are D and B mutually exclusive?
Two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot happen at the same time, meaning P(DB)=0.
Here, n(DB)=35, so P(DB)0.
Therefore, the events are not mutually exclusive.

Q25
CASE STUDY – 3: Sports Academy Training
In a sports academy:
  • 60% trainees receive training in Cricket (C)
  • 50% trainees receive training in Football (F)
  • 30% receive training in both sports
Based on given information, answer the following:
(a) Find P(C | F).
(b) Find the probability that a trainee trains in at least one sport.
(c) Find the probability that the trainee trains in exactly one sport.
(d) Check whether events C and F are independent.
Solution

Initial Setup:
P(C)=0.60
P(F)=0.50
P(CF)=0.30

(a) Probability of Cricket given Football:
P(C|F)=P(CF)P(F)=0.300.50=0.60

(b) Probability of at least one sport:
P(CF)=P(C)+P(F)-P(CF) P(CF)=0.60+0.50-0.30=0.80

(c) Probability of exactly one sport:
P(Exactly one)=P(Only C)+P(Only F) P(Exactly one)=(P(C)-P(CF))+(P(F)-P(CF)) P(Exactly one)=(0.60-0.30)+(0.50-0.30)=0.30+0.20=0.50

(d) Independence Check:
Events are independent if P(CF)=P(C)×P(F).
P(C)×P(F)=0.60×0.50=0.30
Since P(CF) is also given as 0.30, the condition holds.
Therefore, events C and F are independent.

Q26
CASE STUDY – 4: Card Selection
Two cards are drawn successively from a standard deck of 52 cards without replacement.
(a) Find the probability that the second card is a Queen given the first card is a Queen.
(b) Find the probability that both cards are Spades.
(c) Find the probability that at least one card is a Spade.
(d) Explain, using part (a), why these two events are not independent.
Solution

Initial Setup:
A standard deck has 52 cards. The draw is successive and without replacement.

(a) P(Second is Queen | First is Queen):
Let Q1 be the event the first card is a Queen. Let Q2 be the event the second card is a Queen.
Since 1 Queen was already drawn, there are now 3 Queens left in a deck of 51 cards.
P(Q2|Q1)=351=117

(b) P(Both are Spades):
There are 13 spades in a deck. We use the Multiplication Rule:
P(S1S2)=P(S1)×P(S2|S1) P(S1S2)=1352×1251=14×417=117

(c) P(At least one Spade):
We use the complement rule: P(At least 1 Spade)=1-P(No Spades).
There are 39 non-spades.
P(No Spades)=3952×3851=34×3851=114204=1934 P(At least 1 Spade)=1-1934=1534

(d) Explanation of Dependence:
Events are independent if the occurrence of the first event does not affect the probability of the second event, meaning P(Q2|Q1)=P(Q2).
The initial probability of drawing a Queen is P(Q2)=452=113.
However, we found in part (a) that P(Q2|Q1)=117.
Since 117113, the events are not independent. Drawing without replacement changes the composition of the deck, making subsequent draws dependent on earlier outcomes.

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